SHOALWATER: Expert says Landry should have lost Capricornia

VOTE WINNER: Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull with Capricornia MP Michelle Landry going over the Shoalwater Bay expansion.
VOTE WINNER: Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull with Capricornia MP Michelle Landry going over the Shoalwater Bay expansion. Contributed

AN EXPERT on voting behaviour says the Liberal National Party would not have won the seat of Capricornia in 2016 if compulsory land acquisitions at Shoalwater Bay were made public before the election.

His comments come after Defence Minister Marise Payne admitted during Question Time in the Senate yesterday that she had been briefed by the Defence Department in June.

She said the briefing included the potential for compulsory land acquisitions.

Queensland University of Technology's Professor Clive Bean, who is an expert in voting behaviour and elections, told The Morning Bulletin that because the seat was one of the most marginal in the country and historically, with no LNP member able to retain the seat for more than one term, the seat should have gone to the Australian Labor Party.

Professor Clive Bean, from the Queensland University of Technology.
Professor Clive Bean, from the Queensland University of Technology. Photo contributed ROK230316bean1

He said another factor was the 0.8% margin in the lead up to the election on July 2.

"They (LNP) managed to hold the line,” Mr Bean said.

He said generally local issues don't play a huge role in voting behaviours, but something as big as the $2.25 billion deal with Singapore to expand Queensland military training bases at Shoalwater Bay Military Training Area and Townsville Field Training Area was expected to give a huge economic boost to the region and would have made a lot of difference to people's voting behaviours.

"That's probably what saved them,” Mr Bean said.

"To then find out there was another twist to it (the compulsory land acquisitions)... they most certainly would not have been able to hold the line.”

Capricornia MP Michelle Landry won the 2016 election by 1,111 votes with a 0.14 swing in favour of the ALP candidate Leisa Neaton.

However, Ms Landry countered the political experts' comments.

"No-one could know what the people voted for,” she told The Morning Bulletin yesterday.

"No one knows if the average person took notice of the Singapore deal.”

Ms Landry said the 2016 election came down to the 'fact ALP was not interested in infrastructure projects'.

She highlighted the Rookwood Weir and the Rockhampton Hospital carpark commitments by the Coalition Government as key elements to her success at the polls against Ms Neaton.

"They've taken it for granted for far too long that this is a safe Labor seat,” Ms Landry said.

"Capricornia has always been tight. It was tight in 2013. It was tight in 2016. I have made it a very tight seat.

"I will continue to work hard for my electorate.”

Ms Landry reiterated that she did not know about the land acquisitions until "probably November when people started ringing my office”.

Her comment came after ALP Senator Murray Watt and Shadow Agriculture Minister Joel Fitzgibbon yesterday called for Ms Landry to publicly comment on when she first knew about the land acquisitions

Topics:  capricornia federal election 2016 leisa neaton michelle landry mp professor clive bean shoalwater bay expansion shoalwater bay military training area

8 things you didn't know you could do at North Straddie

NORTH Stradbroke Island is the perfect getaway whether you plan to stay for a day, a week or even a month.

A whisky-lover's blurprint to Brisbane's best bars

Check out The Gresham for some old-school fine drops.

SCOTCH, Whiskey and Whisky; it all gets a bit confusing.

Your guide to the best Brisbane markets

Enjoy the beautiful offerings of one of Brisbane's many markets.

WHO doesn’t love a good market!?

Ain’t no mountain high enough

No Caption

Brisbane's dishing up the mountain-hiking goods!

Six hideaway bars to escape winter chill

The Gresham's charm will win you over before your first sip.

THESE are the perfect places to hang this winter.

Our six art gallery picks for a creative day out

Queensland's Gallery of Modern Art always has a fun, exciting and interesting exhibition on show for the whole family to enjoy.

YOU'D be mistaken in thinking Brisbane wasn't an arty city.

Brisbane's arts and culture events centre stage

You loved the film, now you're about to love the musical. Don't miss The Bodyguard The Musical in Brisbane this July.

THE arts and culture events you don't want to miss.

REVEALED: Hot tips which could help you win $10K in prizes

Kerry Peel and Madonna Boodle at the Channel 7 Ladies Lunch at Callaghan Park.

Hot tips for Rockhampton Cup 2017 Fashion of the Field entrants

Divorce stress leads to meth addiction

Methamphetamine also known as crystal meth

40-year-old said he quickly became addicted to meth

Business boss details hidden 'scourge' crippling Rocky's economy

A business boss says a hidden problem is hurting Rockhampton's economy.

Calls for immediate action to address major problem

Local Partners

Rapper accidentally drops Banksy's real name in interview

THE shine might just have been taken off bling-toothed British rapper Goldie after he appeared to have revealed the identity of mysterious artist Banksy.

Mariah Carey slammed for on-set antics

Mariah Carey’s cameo in the movie The House was reportedly scrapped.

Actor spills the beans on Mariah’s “borderline abusive” behaviour.

Celebrity chef Darren Simpson dead after long illness

Celebrity chef Darren Simpson has died.

Celebrity chef died after battle with an alcohol-related illness

Ellen shames audience member

Ellen shamed an audience member who stole from her gift shop.

TALK show host catches audience member stealing from her gift shop.

Millionaire’s riches to rags experiment

Businessman Tim Guest swapped his comfortable lifestyle for 10 days to experience what it is like to be homeless.

Businessman discovers harsh realities of homelessness in new series.

Prince Harry says young royals don't want to take the throne

Britain's Prince Harry.

Prince Harry says young royals don't want to take the throne

Rebel Wilson to give away her defamation payout

Actor Wilson says she won't keep a cent of her defamation payout

Open for inspection: Coast homes go on show

Check out this weekend's homes open for inspection.

Residents powerless to stop Airbnb ‘party houses’

A photo of a bucks party at a short-term rental in the Watergate Apartments in Melbourne’s Docklands, presented to a Victorian parliamentary committee into changes to laws governing short-stay accommodation.

Residents band together to fight the rise of AirBnB 'party houses'

Mining giants in fight that could spell disaster for NQ town

STAND OFF: There are perfectly good homes for workers, but mining company QCoal could be forced to build a camp and the deserted streets and empty houses of Glenden would remain.

How two mining companies could ruin this small town

Home owners settling to make way for Mackay Ring Road

The Clarkson family's home was moved just down the road from their former land at Stotts Road, Te Kowai, which was resumed by TMR.

But some are still clinging on, fighting for a better deal

Three historic M'boro hotels on the market

The Lamington Hotel Motel, Maryborough. Photo: Valerie Horton / Fraser Coast Chronicle

Three historic Maryborough hotels are on the market.

Ready to SELL your property?

Post Your Ad Here!