Bart's a good bet
IT’S crazy trying to back the winner of the Melbourne Cup as it is one of the toughest races in the world to win.
Regardless, millions of Australians will have their annual little dabble today, more so in the hope they can claim to have backed the winner rather than expecting to win a small fortune.
I’ve been tipping racehorses on and off as part of my profession for over 30 years and the key to making money out of any form of racing is “patience”.
That is why I have been a life-long fan of the Cups King – the one and only Bart Cummings.
Enjoying a stellar Spring Racing Carnival in Melbourne, Bart, 81, (actually his first Christian name is James) going on 21 if you please, has won 12 Melbourne Cups since his first with Light Fingers in 1965.
Cummings has started 78 horses in Melbourne Cups over the ensuing years for 12 winners and nine placegetters – in other words he wins the Cup on average about once every three and a half-years – get the gist?
Having said that, my Cup tip for today is his winner of last year in Viewed – TAB number 1.
Hang on, didn’t you say Bart wins the Cup on average once every 3.66 years?
Sure did but don’t be worried as on three previous occasions Bart Cummings has saddled up successive Melbourne Cup winners – better still through 1965–66–67 he won it with Light Fingers, Galilee and Red Handed.
In 1974 and 1975 he won it consecutively with Think Big while he did likewise in 1990/91 with Kingston Rule and Let’s Elope.
Furthermore, Cummings has provided the quinella (first and second) in the Melbourne Cup on five occasions which is good enough reason for him to do so today through TAB number 6 – Roman Emperor.
I’m giving TAB 4 – Master O’Reilly a grand chance as his lead-up runs have caught the eye and it’s a case for him today of third time lucky in the Melbourne Cup for trainer Danny O’Brien.
There is a touch of Cummings irony there, as in 1950 Bart’s dad Jim trained Comic Court to win the Melbourne Cup at that stayer’s third attempt.
For exotic punters (those who play the multiple betting systems), I rate the Kiwi mare Daffodil (20) a strong lightweight chance while believing Mourilyan (5) is the best of the overseas prospects.
Just for the record I have a hunch that Bart’s lightweight Allez Wonder is the best roughie going.